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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP099] · 55% DEPTH

Ten (10) Depletion at 229/416 Cards (55%): B4 Draw 2-7 Gate Impact #99

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP099, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 10 copies of Ten (10) among 187 unseen cards (5.35% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by -39 bps.

DEP099 Shoe Depth
229/416 (55%)
DEP099 10 Density
10/187 (5.35%)
DEP099 Draw Delta
-39 bps
DEP099 Tableau Gate
B4vP4:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P B B B P P P P B B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP099 (Ten (10) -> 10/187).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 3, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP099 Penetration Depth
229 Dealt / 187 Remaining (55%)

Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP099 Rank 10 Supply
10 of 32 Remaining (5.35%)

Compares depleted density 5.35% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ten (10).

DEP099 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -39 bps / B-Stand 24 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP099 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[4][4] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 4) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP099 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+2)+4=6 vs B(A+3)=6 (T)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP099.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP099

How Removing Ten (10) at 229 Cards Affects B4 Draw 2-7 Gate (DEP099)

[DEP099] At 229 cards dealt (55% shoe depth, 187 undealt), removing 22 copies of Ten (10) leaves 10/187 (5.35% vs fresh-shoe 7.69%) entering the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.

[DEP099-B] Because Ten (10) carries point value 0, thinning this rank shifts Player 0..5 drawing frequency by -39 bps and Banker standing frequency by 24 bps while BANKER_TABLEAU[4][4]=true still draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP099 (Ten (10) at 229/416 Cards)
DEP099 MetricDEP099 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP099 At 229 DealtDEP099 Tableau Effect
[DEP099:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)187 Left (55% Dealt)Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt)
[DEP099:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)10/187 (5.35%)Point Value 0
[DEP099:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -39 bps / B 24 bpsB4 Draw 2-7 Gate
[DEP099:Hand]P=2 vs B=4, P3=4P=6 vs B=66c (T)
  • [DEP099-1] Verify [DEP099] 187 unseen cards remain after 229/416 exit.
  • [DEP099-2] Compare [DEP099] Ten (10) density (10/187=5.35%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP099-3] Apply [DEP099] BANKER_TABLEAU[4][4]=true (6c T).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP099

Why DEP099 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP099-C2] Auditioning [DEP099] at depth, Player opens 2 + 4 -> 6 while Banker opens 4 -> 6 across 6c (T in [DEP099]). Across [DEP099] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging T onto [DEP099] PPBBPBPBBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Ten (10) is depleted to 10/187 in DEP099, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[4][4] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 229/416 cards in DEP099 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
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