In shoe-depletion analysis DEP295, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 15 copies of Ten (10) among 250 unseen cards (6.00% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -48 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP295 (Ten (10) -> 15/250).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.00% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ten (10).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 2) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP295.
[DEP295] At 166 cards dealt (40% shoe depth, 250 undealt), removing 17 copies of Ten (10) leaves 15/250 (6.00% vs fresh-shoe 7.69%) entering the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.
[DEP295-B] Because Ten (10) carries point value 0, thinning this rank shifts Player 0..5 drawing frequency by -48 bps and Banker standing frequency by 23 bps while BANKER_TABLEAU[2][2]=true still draws a sixth card.
| DEP295 Metric | DEP295 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP295 At 166 Dealt | DEP295 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP295:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP295:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 15/250 (6.00%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP295:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -48 bps / B 23 bps | P0-5 vs B-Stand |
| [DEP295:Hand] | P=0 vs B=2, P3=2 | P=2 vs B=8 | 6c (B) |
[DEP295-C9] Auditioning [DEP295] at depth, Player opens 0 + 2 -> 2 while Banker opens 2 -> 8 across 6c (B in [DEP295]). Across [DEP295] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP295] PPBBPBBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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