In shoe-depletion analysis DEP155, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 15 copies of Ten (10) among 250 unseen cards (6.00% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -14 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP155 (Ten (10) -> 15/250).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.00% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ten (10).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 6) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP155.
[DEP155] At 166 cards dealt (40% shoe depth, 250 undealt), removing 17 copies of Ten (10) leaves 15/250 (6.00% vs fresh-shoe 7.69%) entering the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.
[DEP155-B] Because Ten (10) carries point value 0, thinning this rank shifts Player 0..5 drawing frequency by -14 bps and Banker standing frequency by 37 bps while BANKER_TABLEAU[5][6]=true still draws a sixth card.
| DEP155 Metric | DEP155 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP155 At 166 Dealt | DEP155 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP155:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP155:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 15/250 (6.00%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP155:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -14 bps / B 37 bps | B5 Draw 4-7 Gate |
| [DEP155:Hand] | P=4 vs B=5, P3=6 | P=0 vs B=4 | 6c (B) |
[DEP155-C4] Auditioning [DEP155] at depth, Player opens 4 + 6 -> 0 while Banker opens 5 -> 4 across 6c (B in [DEP155]). Across [DEP155] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP155] PPBBPBPPBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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