In shoe-depletion analysis DEP015, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 15 copies of Ten (10) among 250 unseen cards (6.00% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -17 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP015 (Ten (10) -> 15/250).
Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.00% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ten (10).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP015.
[DEP015] At 166 cards dealt (40% shoe depth, 250 undealt), removing 17 copies of Ten (10) leaves 15/250 (6.00% vs fresh-shoe 7.69%) entering the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.
[DEP015-B] Because Ten (10) carries point value 0, thinning this rank shifts Player 0..5 drawing frequency by -17 bps and Banker standing frequency by 20 bps while BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false still stands pat on five cards.
| DEP015 Metric | DEP015 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP015 At 166 Dealt | DEP015 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP015:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP015:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 15/250 (6.00%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP015:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -17 bps / B 20 bps | B3 vs P3=8 Shade |
| [DEP015:Hand] | P=2 vs B=3, P3=8 | P=0 vs B=3 | 5c (B) |
[DEP015-C12] Auditioning [DEP015] at depth, Player opens 2 + 8 -> 0 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP015]). Across [DEP015] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP015] PPBBBPPBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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