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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP001] · 25% DEPTH

Ten (10) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): B3 vs P3=8 Shade Impact #1

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP001, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 22 copies of Ten (10) among 312 unseen cards (7.05% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -12 bps.

DEP001 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP001 10 Density
22/312 (7.05%)
DEP001 Draw Delta
-12 bps
DEP001 Tableau Gate
B3vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B P B P P B B B P P P P B B
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ =
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP001 (Ten (10) -> 22/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 7 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 6 with Column 3, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 6, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP001 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP001 Rank 10 Supply
22 of 32 Remaining (7.05%)

Compares depleted density 7.05% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ten (10).

DEP001 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -12 bps / B-Stand 9 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP001 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP001 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+K)+8=8 vs B(9+4)=3 (P)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP001.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP001

How Removing Ten (10) at 104 Cards Affects B3 vs P3=8 Shade (DEP001)

[DEP001] At 104 cards dealt (25% shoe depth, 312 undealt), removing 10 copies of Ten (10) leaves 22/312 (7.05% vs fresh-shoe 7.69%) entering the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.

[DEP001-B] Because Ten (10) carries point value 0, thinning this rank shifts Player 0..5 drawing frequency by -12 bps and Banker standing frequency by 9 bps while BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false still stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP001 (Ten (10) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP001 MetricDEP001 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP001 At 104 DealtDEP001 Tableau Effect
[DEP001:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP001:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)22/312 (7.05%)Point Value 0
[DEP001:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -12 bps / B 9 bpsB3 vs P3=8 Shade
[DEP001:Hand]P=0 vs B=3, P3=8P=8 vs B=35c (P)
  • [DEP001-1] Verify [DEP001] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP001-2] Compare [DEP001] Ten (10) density (22/312=7.05%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP001-3] Apply [DEP001] BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false (5c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP001

Why DEP001 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP001-C5] Auditioning [DEP001] at depth, Player opens 0 + 8 -> 8 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (P in [DEP001]). Across [DEP001] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP001] PPBBPPBPBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Ten (10) is depleted to 22/312 in DEP001, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP001 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
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