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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP262] · 70% DEPTH

Six (6) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B6 Draw 6-7 Gate Impact #262

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP262, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 7 copies of Six (6) among 125 unseen cards (5.60% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by 12 bps.

DEP262 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP262 6 Density
7/125 (5.60%)
DEP262 Draw Delta
12 bps
DEP262 Tableau Gate
B6vP7:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P P P B B B B P B B P P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = =
Small Road ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP262 (Six (6) -> 7/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP262 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP262 Rank 6 Supply
7 of 32 Remaining (5.60%)

Compares depleted density 5.60% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Six (6).

DEP262 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 12 bps / B-Stand -18 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP262 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[6][7] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP262 Sample Coup Resolution
P(9+4)+7=0 vs B(3+3)=9 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP262.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP262

How Removing Six (6) at 291 Cards Affects B6 Draw 6-7 Gate (DEP262)

In depletion audit [DEP262], an 8-deck shoe reaches Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) with 125 cards left and 7 copies of Six (6) (5.60% vs 7.69%), directly shifting the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.

[DEP262-B] With Six (6) valued at 6 mod 10, its removal moves Player fifth-card draw entry by 12 bps and Banker pat rate by -18 bps; yet inside cell (B=6, P3=7), Banker deterministically draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP262 (Six (6) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP262 MetricDEP262 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP262 At 291 DealtDEP262 Tableau Effect
[DEP262:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP262:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)7/125 (5.60%)Point Value 6
[DEP262:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 12 bps / B -18 bpsB6 Draw 6-7 Gate
[DEP262:Hand]P=3 vs B=6, P3=7P=0 vs B=96c (B)
  • [DEP262-1] Verify [DEP262] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP262-2] Compare [DEP262] Six (6) density (7/125=5.60%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP262-3] Apply [DEP262] BANKER_TABLEAU[6][7]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP262

Why DEP262 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP262-C12] Auditioning [DEP262] at depth, Player opens 3 + 7 -> 0 while Banker opens 6 -> 9 across 6c (B in [DEP262]). Across [DEP262] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP262] BBPPBPPPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Six (6) is depleted to 7/125 in DEP262, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[6][7] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP262 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
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