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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP192] · 70% DEPTH

Six (6) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B5 Draw 4-7 Gate Impact #192

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP192, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 5 copies of Six (6) among 125 unseen cards (4.00% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by 32 bps.

DEP192 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP192 6 Density
5/125 (4.00%)
DEP192 Draw Delta
32 bps
DEP192 Tableau Gate
B5vP7:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P B P B B P P P B B B B P P
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ =
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP192 (Six (6) -> 5/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 7 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 6 with Column 3, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 6, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP192 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP192 Rank 6 Supply
5 of 32 Remaining (4.00%)

Compares depleted density 4.00% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Six (6).

DEP192 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 32 bps / B-Stand -25 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP192 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP192 Sample Coup Resolution
P(A+4)+7=2 vs B(2+3)=7 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP192.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP192

How Removing Six (6) at 291 Cards Affects B5 Draw 4-7 Gate (DEP192)

In depletion audit [DEP192], an 8-deck shoe reaches Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) with 125 cards left and 5 copies of Six (6) (4.00% vs 7.69%), directly shifting the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.

[DEP192-B] With Six (6) valued at 6 mod 10, its removal moves Player fifth-card draw entry by 32 bps and Banker pat rate by -25 bps; yet inside cell (B=5, P3=7), Banker deterministically draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP192 (Six (6) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP192 MetricDEP192 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP192 At 291 DealtDEP192 Tableau Effect
[DEP192:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP192:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)5/125 (4.00%)Point Value 6
[DEP192:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 32 bps / B -25 bpsB5 Draw 4-7 Gate
[DEP192:Hand]P=5 vs B=5, P3=7P=2 vs B=76c (B)
  • [DEP192-1] Verify [DEP192] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP192-2] Compare [DEP192] Six (6) density (5/125=4.00%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP192-3] Apply [DEP192] BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP192

Why DEP192 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP192-C3] Auditioning [DEP192] at depth, Player opens 5 + 7 -> 2 while Banker opens 5 -> 7 across 6c (B in [DEP192]). Across [DEP192] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP192] BBPPBBPBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Six (6) is depleted to 5/125 in DEP192, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP192 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
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