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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP052] · 70% DEPTH

Six (6) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B3 vs P3=8 Shade Impact #52

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP052, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 5 copies of Six (6) among 125 unseen cards (4.00% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by 35 bps.

DEP052 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP052 6 Density
5/125 (4.00%)
DEP052 Draw Delta
35 bps
DEP052 Tableau Gate
B3vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P P B B B B P P B P P P B B B P B
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP052 (Six (6) -> 5/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 4, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP052 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP052 Rank 6 Supply
5 of 32 Remaining (4.00%)

Compares depleted density 4.00% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Six (6).

DEP052 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 35 bps / B-Stand -39 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP052 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP052 Sample Coup Resolution
P(9+4)+8=1 vs B(10+3)=3 (B)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP052.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP052

How Removing Six (6) at 291 Cards Affects B3 vs P3=8 Shade (DEP052)

In depletion audit [DEP052], an 8-deck shoe reaches Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) with 125 cards left and 5 copies of Six (6) (4.00% vs 7.69%), directly shifting the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.

[DEP052-B] With Six (6) valued at 6 mod 10, its removal moves Player fifth-card draw entry by 35 bps and Banker pat rate by -39 bps; yet inside cell (B=3, P3=8), Banker deterministically stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP052 (Six (6) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP052 MetricDEP052 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP052 At 291 DealtDEP052 Tableau Effect
[DEP052:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP052:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)5/125 (4.00%)Point Value 6
[DEP052:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 35 bps / B -39 bpsB3 vs P3=8 Shade
[DEP052:Hand]P=3 vs B=3, P3=8P=1 vs B=35c (B)
  • [DEP052-1] Verify [DEP052] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP052-2] Compare [DEP052] Six (6) density (5/125=4.00%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP052-3] Apply [DEP052] BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false (5c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP052

Why DEP052 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP052-C11] Auditioning [DEP052] at depth, Player opens 3 + 8 -> 1 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP052]). Across [DEP052] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP052] BBPPPBBBBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Six (6) is depleted to 5/125 in DEP052, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP052 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
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