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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP318] · 55% DEPTH

Six (6) Depletion at 229/416 Cards (55%): P0-5 vs B-Stand Impact #318

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP318, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 11 copies of Six (6) among 187 unseen cards (5.88% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by 24 bps.

DEP318 Shoe Depth
229/416 (55%)
DEP318 6 Density
11/187 (5.88%)
DEP318 Draw Delta
24 bps
DEP318 Tableau Gate
B2vP1:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P P B B P B B P P B P P P B B B B
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP318 (Six (6) -> 11/187).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP318 Penetration Depth
229 Dealt / 187 Remaining (55%)

Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP318 Rank 6 Supply
11 of 32 Remaining (5.88%)

Compares depleted density 5.88% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Six (6).

DEP318 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 24 bps / B-Stand -31 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP318 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[2][1] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 1) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP318 Sample Coup Resolution
P(A+4)+A=6 vs B(10+2)=7 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP318.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP318

How Removing Six (6) at 229 Cards Affects P0-5 vs B-Stand (DEP318)

In depletion audit [DEP318], an 8-deck shoe reaches Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) with 187 cards left and 11 copies of Six (6) (5.88% vs 7.69%), directly shifting the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.

[DEP318-B] With Six (6) valued at 6 mod 10, its removal moves Player fifth-card draw entry by 24 bps and Banker pat rate by -31 bps; yet inside cell (B=2, P3=1), Banker deterministically draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP318 (Six (6) at 229/416 Cards)
DEP318 MetricDEP318 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP318 At 229 DealtDEP318 Tableau Effect
[DEP318:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)187 Left (55% Dealt)Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt)
[DEP318:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)11/187 (5.88%)Point Value 6
[DEP318:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 24 bps / B -31 bpsP0-5 vs B-Stand
[DEP318:Hand]P=5 vs B=2, P3=1P=6 vs B=76c (B)
  • [DEP318-1] Verify [DEP318] 187 unseen cards remain after 229/416 exit.
  • [DEP318-2] Compare [DEP318] Six (6) density (11/187=5.88%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP318-3] Apply [DEP318] BANKER_TABLEAU[2][1]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP318

Why DEP318 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP318-C1] Auditioning [DEP318] at depth, Player opens 5 + 1 -> 6 while Banker opens 2 -> 7 across 6c (B in [DEP318]). Across [DEP318] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP318] BBPPPBBPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Six (6) is depleted to 11/187 in DEP318, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[2][1] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 229/416 cards in DEP318 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
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