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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP248] · 55% DEPTH

Six (6) Depletion at 229/416 Cards (55%): B6 Draw 6-7 Gate Impact #248

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP248, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 9 copies of Six (6) among 187 unseen cards (4.81% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by 44 bps.

DEP248 Shoe Depth
229/416 (55%)
DEP248 6 Density
9/187 (4.81%)
DEP248 Draw Delta
44 bps
DEP248 Tableau Gate
B6vP9:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P P B B B B P P B P P P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP248 (Six (6) -> 9/187).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP248 Penetration Depth
229 Dealt / 187 Remaining (55%)

Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP248 Rank 6 Supply
9 of 32 Remaining (4.81%)

Compares depleted density 4.81% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Six (6).

DEP248 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 44 bps / B-Stand -38 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP248 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[6][9] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 9) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP248 Sample Coup Resolution
P(7+4)+9=0 vs B(3+3)=6 (B)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP248.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP248

How Removing Six (6) at 229 Cards Affects B6 Draw 6-7 Gate (DEP248)

In depletion audit [DEP248], an 8-deck shoe reaches Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) with 187 cards left and 9 copies of Six (6) (4.81% vs 7.69%), directly shifting the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.

[DEP248-B] With Six (6) valued at 6 mod 10, its removal moves Player fifth-card draw entry by 44 bps and Banker pat rate by -38 bps; yet inside cell (B=6, P3=9), Banker deterministically stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP248 (Six (6) at 229/416 Cards)
DEP248 MetricDEP248 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP248 At 229 DealtDEP248 Tableau Effect
[DEP248:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)187 Left (55% Dealt)Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt)
[DEP248:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)9/187 (4.81%)Point Value 6
[DEP248:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 44 bps / B -38 bpsB6 Draw 6-7 Gate
[DEP248:Hand]P=1 vs B=6, P3=9P=0 vs B=65c (B)
  • [DEP248-1] Verify [DEP248] 187 unseen cards remain after 229/416 exit.
  • [DEP248-2] Compare [DEP248] Six (6) density (9/187=4.81%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP248-3] Apply [DEP248] BANKER_TABLEAU[6][9]=false (5c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP248

Why DEP248 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP248-C5] Auditioning [DEP248] at depth, Player opens 1 + 9 -> 0 while Banker opens 6 -> 6 across 5c (B in [DEP248]). Across [DEP248] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP248] BBPPBBPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Six (6) is depleted to 9/187 in DEP248, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[6][9] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 229/416 cards in DEP248 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
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