In shoe-depletion analysis DEP038, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 11 copies of Six (6) among 187 unseen cards (5.88% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by 30 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP038 (Six (6) -> 11/187).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 5.88% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Six (6).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP038.
In depletion audit [DEP038], an 8-deck shoe reaches Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) with 187 cards left and 11 copies of Six (6) (5.88% vs 7.69%), directly shifting the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.
[DEP038-B] With Six (6) valued at 6 mod 10, its removal moves Player fifth-card draw entry by 30 bps and Banker pat rate by -28 bps; yet inside cell (B=3, P3=8), Banker deterministically stands pat on five cards.
| DEP038 Metric | DEP038 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP038 At 229 Dealt | DEP038 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP038:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 187 Left (55% Dealt) | Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) |
| [DEP038:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 11/187 (5.88%) | Point Value 6 |
| [DEP038:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P 30 bps / B -28 bps | B3 vs P3=8 Shade |
| [DEP038:Hand] | P=1 vs B=3, P3=8 | P=9 vs B=3 | 5c (P) |
[DEP038-C4] Auditioning [DEP038] at depth, Player opens 1 + 8 -> 9 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (P in [DEP038]). Across [DEP038] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP038] BBPPBPPPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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