In shoe-depletion analysis DEP304, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 14 copies of Six (6) among 250 unseen cards (5.60% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by 19 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP304 (Six (6) -> 14/250).
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 6, the one that just finished, with Column 3.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 5.60% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Six (6).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 3) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP304.
In depletion audit [DEP304], an 8-deck shoe reaches Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) with 250 cards left and 14 copies of Six (6) (5.60% vs 7.69%), directly shifting the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.
[DEP304-B] With Six (6) valued at 6 mod 10, its removal moves Player fifth-card draw entry by 19 bps and Banker pat rate by -20 bps; yet inside cell (B=2, P3=3), Banker deterministically draws a sixth card.
| DEP304 Metric | DEP304 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP304 At 166 Dealt | DEP304 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP304:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP304:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 14/250 (5.60%) | Point Value 6 |
| [DEP304:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P 19 bps / B -20 bps | P0-5 vs B-Stand |
| [DEP304:Hand] | P=3 vs B=2, P3=3 | P=6 vs B=3 | 6c (P) |
[DEP304-C7] Auditioning [DEP304] at depth, Player opens 3 + 3 -> 6 while Banker opens 2 -> 3 across 6c (P in [DEP304]). Across [DEP304] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP304] BBPPBBPBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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