In shoe-depletion analysis DEP234, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 16 copies of Six (6) among 250 unseen cards (6.40% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by 39 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP234 (Six (6) -> 16/250).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.40% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Six (6).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP234.
In depletion audit [DEP234], an 8-deck shoe reaches Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) with 250 cards left and 16 copies of Six (6) (6.40% vs 7.69%), directly shifting the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.
[DEP234-B] With Six (6) valued at 6 mod 10, its removal moves Player fifth-card draw entry by 39 bps and Banker pat rate by -27 bps; yet inside cell (B=6, P3=7), Banker deterministically draws a sixth card.
| DEP234 Metric | DEP234 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP234 At 166 Dealt | DEP234 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP234:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP234:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 16/250 (6.40%) | Point Value 6 |
| [DEP234:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P 39 bps / B -27 bps | B6 Draw 6-7 Gate |
| [DEP234:Hand] | P=5 vs B=6, P3=7 | P=2 vs B=1 | 6c (P) |
[DEP234-C11] Auditioning [DEP234] at depth, Player opens 5 + 7 -> 2 while Banker opens 6 -> 1 across 6c (P in [DEP234]). Across [DEP234] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP234] BBPPBPBBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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