In shoe-depletion analysis DEP164, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 14 copies of Six (6) among 250 unseen cards (5.60% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by 22 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP164 (Six (6) -> 14/250).
Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 5.60% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Six (6).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP164.
In depletion audit [DEP164], an 8-deck shoe reaches Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) with 250 cards left and 14 copies of Six (6) (5.60% vs 7.69%), directly shifting the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.
[DEP164-B] With Six (6) valued at 6 mod 10, its removal moves Player fifth-card draw entry by 22 bps and Banker pat rate by -34 bps; yet inside cell (B=5, P3=7), Banker deterministically draws a sixth card.
| DEP164 Metric | DEP164 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP164 At 166 Dealt | DEP164 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP164:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP164:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 14/250 (5.60%) | Point Value 6 |
| [DEP164:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P 22 bps / B -34 bps | B5 Draw 4-7 Gate |
| [DEP164:Hand] | P=1 vs B=5, P3=7 | P=8 vs B=9 | 6c (B) |
[DEP164-C2] Auditioning [DEP164] at depth, Player opens 1 + 7 -> 8 while Banker opens 5 -> 9 across 6c (B in [DEP164]). Across [DEP164] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP164] BBPPPBBBBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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