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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP290] · 25% DEPTH

Six (6) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): P0-5 vs B-Stand Impact #290

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP290, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 21 copies of Six (6) among 312 unseen cards (6.73% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by 14 bps.

DEP290 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP290 6 Density
21/312 (6.73%)
DEP290 Draw Delta
14 bps
DEP290 Tableau Gate
B2vP1:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P P P B B B B P P B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP290 (Six (6) -> 21/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 3, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP290 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP290 Rank 6 Supply
21 of 32 Remaining (6.73%)

Compares depleted density 6.73% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Six (6).

DEP290 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 14 bps / B-Stand -9 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP290 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[2][1] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 1) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP290 Sample Coup Resolution
P(7+4)+A=2 vs B(10+2)=9 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP290.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP290

How Removing Six (6) at 104 Cards Affects P0-5 vs B-Stand (DEP290)

In depletion audit [DEP290], an 8-deck shoe reaches Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) with 312 cards left and 21 copies of Six (6) (6.73% vs 7.69%), directly shifting the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.

[DEP290-B] With Six (6) valued at 6 mod 10, its removal moves Player fifth-card draw entry by 14 bps and Banker pat rate by -9 bps; yet inside cell (B=2, P3=1), Banker deterministically draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP290 (Six (6) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP290 MetricDEP290 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP290 At 104 DealtDEP290 Tableau Effect
[DEP290:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP290:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)21/312 (6.73%)Point Value 6
[DEP290:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 14 bps / B -9 bpsP0-5 vs B-Stand
[DEP290:Hand]P=1 vs B=2, P3=1P=2 vs B=96c (B)
  • [DEP290-1] Verify [DEP290] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP290-2] Compare [DEP290] Six (6) density (21/312=6.73%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP290-3] Apply [DEP290] BANKER_TABLEAU[2][1]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP290

Why DEP290 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP290-C0] Auditioning [DEP290] at depth, Player opens 1 + 1 -> 2 while Banker opens 2 -> 9 across 6c (B in [DEP290]). Across [DEP290] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP290] BBPPBPBPPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Six (6) is depleted to 21/312 in DEP290, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[2][1] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP290 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
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