In shoe-depletion analysis DEP150, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 21 copies of Six (6) among 312 unseen cards (6.73% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by 17 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP150 (Six (6) -> 21/312).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.73% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Six (6).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 5) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP150.
In depletion audit [DEP150], an 8-deck shoe reaches Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) with 312 cards left and 21 copies of Six (6) (6.73% vs 7.69%), directly shifting the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.
[DEP150-B] With Six (6) valued at 6 mod 10, its removal moves Player fifth-card draw entry by 17 bps and Banker pat rate by -23 bps; yet inside cell (B=5, P3=5), Banker deterministically draws a sixth card.
| DEP150 Metric | DEP150 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP150 At 104 Dealt | DEP150 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP150:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 312 Left (25% Dealt) | Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP150:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 21/312 (6.73%) | Point Value 6 |
| [DEP150:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P 17 bps / B -23 bps | B5 Draw 4-7 Gate |
| [DEP150:Hand] | P=5 vs B=5, P3=5 | P=0 vs B=5 | 6c (B) |
[DEP150-C8] Auditioning [DEP150] at depth, Player opens 5 + 5 -> 0 while Banker opens 5 -> 5 across 6c (B in [DEP150]). Across [DEP150] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP150] BBPPBPPPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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