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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP080] · 25% DEPTH

Six (6) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): B4 Draw 2-7 Gate Impact #80

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP080, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 19 copies of Six (6) among 312 unseen cards (6.09% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by 37 bps.

DEP080 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP080 6 Density
19/312 (6.09%)
DEP080 Draw Delta
37 bps
DEP080 Tableau Gate
B4vP5:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P B P B B P P P B B B B P P
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ =
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP080 (Six (6) -> 19/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 7 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 6 with Column 3, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 6, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP080 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP080 Rank 6 Supply
19 of 32 Remaining (6.09%)

Compares depleted density 6.09% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Six (6).

DEP080 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 37 bps / B-Stand -30 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP080 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[4][5] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 5) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP080 Sample Coup Resolution
P(7+4)+5=6 vs B(2+2)=3 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP080.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP080

How Removing Six (6) at 104 Cards Affects B4 Draw 2-7 Gate (DEP080)

In depletion audit [DEP080], an 8-deck shoe reaches Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) with 312 cards left and 19 copies of Six (6) (6.09% vs 7.69%), directly shifting the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.

[DEP080-B] With Six (6) valued at 6 mod 10, its removal moves Player fifth-card draw entry by 37 bps and Banker pat rate by -30 bps; yet inside cell (B=4, P3=5), Banker deterministically draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP080 (Six (6) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP080 MetricDEP080 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP080 At 104 DealtDEP080 Tableau Effect
[DEP080:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP080:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)19/312 (6.09%)Point Value 6
[DEP080:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 37 bps / B -30 bpsB4 Draw 2-7 Gate
[DEP080:Hand]P=1 vs B=4, P3=5P=6 vs B=36c (P)
  • [DEP080-1] Verify [DEP080] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP080-2] Compare [DEP080] Six (6) density (19/312=6.09%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP080-3] Apply [DEP080] BANKER_TABLEAU[4][5]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP080

Why DEP080 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP080-C12] Auditioning [DEP080] at depth, Player opens 1 + 5 -> 6 while Banker opens 4 -> 3 across 6c (P in [DEP080]). Across [DEP080] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP080] BBPPBBPBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Six (6) is depleted to 19/312 in DEP080, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[4][5] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP080 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
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