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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP053] · 70% DEPTH

Seven (7) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B3 vs P3=8 Shade Impact #53

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP053, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 8 copies of Seven (7) among 125 unseen cards (6.40% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by 40 bps.

DEP053 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP053 7 Density
8/125 (6.40%)
DEP053 Draw Delta
40 bps
DEP053 Tableau Gate
B3vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P P P B B P B B B P P P B P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP053 (Seven (7) -> 8/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 4, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP053 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP053 Rank 7 Supply
8 of 32 Remaining (6.40%)

Compares depleted density 6.40% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Seven (7).

DEP053 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 40 bps / B-Stand -18 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP053 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP053 Sample Coup Resolution
P(2+2)+8=2 vs B(9+4)=3 (B)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP053.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP053

How Removing Seven (7) at 291 Cards Affects B3 vs P3=8 Shade (DEP053)

Depletion vector [DEP053] pairs Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) (125 cards left) with 8 remaining Seven (7) cards (6.40% vs 7.69%), quantifying the shift in the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.

[DEP053-B] Observing [DEP053], 7-value Seven (7) removal shifts Player 0..5 draws by 40 bps and Banker stands by -18 bps, leaving the mandatory B3 vs P3=8 rule (stands pat on five cards) intact.

Depletion Matrix for DEP053 (Seven (7) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP053 MetricDEP053 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP053 At 291 DealtDEP053 Tableau Effect
[DEP053:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP053:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)8/125 (6.40%)Point Value 7
[DEP053:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 40 bps / B -18 bpsB3 vs P3=8 Shade
[DEP053:Hand]P=4 vs B=3, P3=8P=2 vs B=35c (B)
  • [DEP053-1] Verify [DEP053] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP053-2] Compare [DEP053] Seven (7) density (8/125=6.40%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP053-3] Apply [DEP053] BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false (5c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP053

Why DEP053 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP053-C5] Auditioning [DEP053] at depth, Player opens 4 + 8 -> 2 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP053]). Across [DEP053] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP053] PPBBBPPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Seven (7) is depleted to 8/125 in DEP053, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP053 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android