In shoe-depletion analysis DEP165, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 17 copies of Seven (7) among 250 unseen cards (6.80% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by 27 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP165 (Seven (7) -> 17/250).
Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Seven (7).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 4) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP165.
Depletion vector [DEP165] pairs Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) (250 cards left) with 17 remaining Seven (7) cards (6.80% vs 7.69%), quantifying the shift in the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.
[DEP165-B] Observing [DEP165], 7-value Seven (7) removal shifts Player 0..5 draws by 27 bps and Banker stands by -13 bps, leaving the mandatory B5 vs P3=4 rule (draws a sixth card) intact.
| DEP165 Metric | DEP165 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP165 At 166 Dealt | DEP165 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP165:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP165:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 17/250 (6.80%) | Point Value 7 |
| [DEP165:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P 27 bps / B -13 bps | B5 Draw 4-7 Gate |
| [DEP165:Hand] | P=2 vs B=5, P3=4 | P=6 vs B=1 | 6c (P) |
[DEP165-C9] Auditioning [DEP165] at depth, Player opens 2 + 4 -> 6 while Banker opens 5 -> 1 across 6c (P in [DEP165]). Across [DEP165] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP165] PPBBBPPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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