In shoe-depletion analysis DEP151, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 20 copies of Seven (7) among 312 unseen cards (6.41% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by 22 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP151 (Seven (7) -> 20/312).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.41% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Seven (7).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 6) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP151.
Depletion vector [DEP151] pairs Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) (312 cards left) with 20 remaining Seven (7) cards (6.41% vs 7.69%), quantifying the shift in the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.
[DEP151-B] Observing [DEP151], 7-value Seven (7) removal shifts Player 0..5 draws by 22 bps and Banker stands by -33 bps, leaving the mandatory B5 vs P3=6 rule (draws a sixth card) intact.
| DEP151 Metric | DEP151 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP151 At 104 Dealt | DEP151 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP151:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 312 Left (25% Dealt) | Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP151:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 20/312 (6.41%) | Point Value 7 |
| [DEP151:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P 22 bps / B -33 bps | B5 Draw 4-7 Gate |
| [DEP151:Hand] | P=0 vs B=5, P3=6 | P=6 vs B=7 | 6c (B) |
[DEP151-C2] Auditioning [DEP151] at depth, Player opens 0 + 6 -> 6 while Banker opens 5 -> 7 across 6c (B in [DEP151]). Across [DEP151] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP151] PPBBPBBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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