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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP115] · 70% DEPTH

Queen (Q) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B4 Draw 2-7 Gate Impact #115

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP115, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 6 copies of Queen (Q) among 125 unseen cards (4.80% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by -17 bps.

DEP115 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP115 Q Density
6/125 (4.80%)
DEP115 Draw Delta
-17 bps
DEP115 Tableau Gate
B4vP4:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P B B B P P P P B B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP115 (Queen (Q) -> 6/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 3, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP115 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP115 Rank Q Supply
6 of 32 Remaining (4.80%)

Compares depleted density 4.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Queen (Q).

DEP115 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -17 bps / B-Stand 24 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP115 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[4][4] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 4) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP115 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+K)+4=4 vs B(A+3)=2 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP115.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP115

How Removing Queen (Q) at 291 Cards Affects B4 Draw 2-7 Gate (DEP115)

Card-removal record [DEP115] inspects 125 remaining cards after 291 are burned or dealt; holding 6 Queen (Q) cards (4.80% vs 7.69%) perturbs the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.

[DEP115-B] In [DEP115], 0-point Queen (Q) depletion nudges Player's third-card draw rate (-17 bps) and Banker's pat rate (24 bps), while B=4 vs P3=4 strictly draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP115 (Queen (Q) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP115 MetricDEP115 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP115 At 291 DealtDEP115 Tableau Effect
[DEP115:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP115:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)6/125 (4.80%)Point Value 0
[DEP115:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -17 bps / B 24 bpsB4 Draw 2-7 Gate
[DEP115:Hand]P=0 vs B=4, P3=4P=4 vs B=26c (P)
  • [DEP115-1] Verify [DEP115] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP115-2] Compare [DEP115] Queen (Q) density (6/125=4.80%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP115-3] Apply [DEP115] BANKER_TABLEAU[4][4]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP115

Why DEP115 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP115-C10] Auditioning [DEP115] at depth, Player opens 0 + 4 -> 4 while Banker opens 4 -> 2 across 6c (P in [DEP115]). Across [DEP115] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP115] PPBBPBPBBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Queen (Q) is depleted to 6/125 in DEP115, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[4][4] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP115 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android