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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP101] · 55% DEPTH

Queen (Q) Depletion at 229/416 Cards (55%): B4 Draw 2-7 Gate Impact #101

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP101, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 12 copies of Queen (Q) among 187 unseen cards (6.42% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by -12 bps.

DEP101 Shoe Depth
229/416 (55%)
DEP101 Q Density
12/187 (6.42%)
DEP101 Draw Delta
-12 bps
DEP101 Tableau Gate
B4vP2:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P P P B B P B B B P P P B P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP101 (Queen (Q) -> 12/187).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 4, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP101 Penetration Depth
229 Dealt / 187 Remaining (55%)

Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP101 Rank Q Supply
12 of 32 Remaining (6.42%)

Compares depleted density 6.42% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Queen (Q).

DEP101 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -12 bps / B-Stand 13 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP101 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[4][2] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 2) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP101 Sample Coup Resolution
P(2+2)+2=6 vs B(A+3)=8 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP101.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP101

How Removing Queen (Q) at 229 Cards Affects B4 Draw 2-7 Gate (DEP101)

Card-removal record [DEP101] inspects 187 remaining cards after 229 are burned or dealt; holding 12 Queen (Q) cards (6.42% vs 7.69%) perturbs the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.

[DEP101-B] In [DEP101], 0-point Queen (Q) depletion nudges Player's third-card draw rate (-12 bps) and Banker's pat rate (13 bps), while B=4 vs P3=2 strictly draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP101 (Queen (Q) at 229/416 Cards)
DEP101 MetricDEP101 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP101 At 229 DealtDEP101 Tableau Effect
[DEP101:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)187 Left (55% Dealt)Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt)
[DEP101:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)12/187 (6.42%)Point Value 0
[DEP101:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -12 bps / B 13 bpsB4 Draw 2-7 Gate
[DEP101:Hand]P=4 vs B=4, P3=2P=6 vs B=86c (B)
  • [DEP101-1] Verify [DEP101] 187 unseen cards remain after 229/416 exit.
  • [DEP101-2] Compare [DEP101] Queen (Q) density (12/187=6.42%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP101-3] Apply [DEP101] BANKER_TABLEAU[4][2]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP101

Why DEP101 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP101-C3] Auditioning [DEP101] at depth, Player opens 4 + 2 -> 6 while Banker opens 4 -> 8 across 6c (B in [DEP101]). Across [DEP101] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP101] PPBBBPPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Queen (Q) is depleted to 12/187 in DEP101, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[4][2] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 229/416 cards in DEP101 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android