In shoe-depletion analysis DEP157, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 17 copies of Queen (Q) among 250 unseen cards (6.80% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -24 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP157 (Queen (Q) -> 17/250).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Queen (Q).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 4) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP157.
Card-removal record [DEP157] inspects 250 remaining cards after 166 are burned or dealt; holding 17 Queen (Q) cards (6.80% vs 7.69%) perturbs the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.
[DEP157-B] In [DEP157], 0-point Queen (Q) depletion nudges Player's third-card draw rate (-24 bps) and Banker's pat rate (26 bps), while B=5 vs P3=4 strictly draws a sixth card.
| DEP157 Metric | DEP157 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP157 At 166 Dealt | DEP157 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP157:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP157:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 17/250 (6.80%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP157:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -24 bps / B 26 bps | B5 Draw 4-7 Gate |
| [DEP157:Hand] | P=0 vs B=5, P3=4 | P=4 vs B=6 | 6c (B) |
[DEP157-C5] Auditioning [DEP157] at depth, Player opens 0 + 4 -> 4 while Banker opens 5 -> 6 across 6c (B in [DEP157]). Across [DEP157] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP157] PPBBPBPPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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