In shoe-depletion analysis DEP017, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 17 copies of Queen (Q) among 250 unseen cards (6.80% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -27 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP017 (Queen (Q) -> 17/250).
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 6, the one that just finished, with Column 3.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Queen (Q).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP017.
Card-removal record [DEP017] inspects 250 remaining cards after 166 are burned or dealt; holding 17 Queen (Q) cards (6.80% vs 7.69%) perturbs the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.
[DEP017-B] In [DEP017], 0-point Queen (Q) depletion nudges Player's third-card draw rate (-27 bps) and Banker's pat rate (9 bps), while B=3 vs P3=8 strictly stands pat on five cards.
| DEP017 Metric | DEP017 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP017 At 166 Dealt | DEP017 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP017:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP017:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 17/250 (6.80%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP017:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -27 bps / B 9 bps | B3 vs P3=8 Shade |
| [DEP017:Hand] | P=4 vs B=3, P3=8 | P=2 vs B=3 | 5c (B) |
[DEP017-C0] Auditioning [DEP017] at depth, Player opens 4 + 8 -> 2 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP017]). Across [DEP017] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP017] PPBBPPBPBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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