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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP003] · 25% DEPTH

Queen (Q) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): B3 vs P3=8 Shade Impact #3

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP003, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 20 copies of Queen (Q) among 312 unseen cards (6.41% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -22 bps.

DEP003 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP003 Q Density
20/312 (6.41%)
DEP003 Draw Delta
-22 bps
DEP003 Tableau Gate
B3vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P B B B P P P P B B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP003 (Queen (Q) -> 20/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 3, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP003 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP003 Rank Q Supply
20 of 32 Remaining (6.41%)

Compares depleted density 6.41% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Queen (Q).

DEP003 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -22 bps / B-Stand 29 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP003 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP003 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+2)+8=0 vs B(9+4)=3 (B)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP003.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP003

How Removing Queen (Q) at 104 Cards Affects B3 vs P3=8 Shade (DEP003)

Card-removal record [DEP003] inspects 312 remaining cards after 104 are burned or dealt; holding 20 Queen (Q) cards (6.41% vs 7.69%) perturbs the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.

[DEP003-B] In [DEP003], 0-point Queen (Q) depletion nudges Player's third-card draw rate (-22 bps) and Banker's pat rate (29 bps), while B=3 vs P3=8 strictly stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP003 (Queen (Q) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP003 MetricDEP003 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP003 At 104 DealtDEP003 Tableau Effect
[DEP003:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP003:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)20/312 (6.41%)Point Value 0
[DEP003:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -22 bps / B 29 bpsB3 vs P3=8 Shade
[DEP003:Hand]P=2 vs B=3, P3=8P=0 vs B=35c (B)
  • [DEP003-1] Verify [DEP003] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP003-2] Compare [DEP003] Queen (Q) density (20/312=6.41%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP003-3] Apply [DEP003] BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false (5c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP003

Why DEP003 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP003-C6] Auditioning [DEP003] at depth, Player opens 2 + 8 -> 0 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP003]). Across [DEP003] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP003] PPBBPBPBBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Queen (Q) is depleted to 20/312 in DEP003, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP003 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android