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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP279] · 82% DEPTH

Nine (9) Depletion at 341/416 Cards (82%): B6 Draw 6-7 Gate Impact #279

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP279, 341 of 416 cards (82%) have exited the shoe, leaving 2 copies of Nine (9) among 75 unseen cards (2.67% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by 32 bps.

DEP279 Shoe Depth
341/416 (82%)
DEP279 9 Density
2/75 (2.67%)
DEP279 Draw Delta
32 bps
DEP279 Tableau Gate
B6vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B B B P P P P B P P B B P P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = =
Small Road ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 82% shoe-penetration state DEP279 (Nine (9) -> 2/75).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP279 Penetration Depth
341 Dealt / 75 Remaining (82%)

Evaluated at Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP279 Rank 9 Supply
2 of 32 Remaining (2.67%)

Compares depleted density 2.67% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Nine (9).

DEP279 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 32 bps / B-Stand -28 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP279 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[6][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP279 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+2)+8=0 vs B(2+4)=6 (B)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP279.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP279

How Removing Nine (9) at 341 Cards Affects B6 Draw 6-7 Gate (DEP279)

Penetration profile [DEP279] fixes the shoe at 341 dealt and 75 remaining with 2 Nine (9) cards (2.67% density vs 7.69%), testing sensitivity of the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.

[DEP279-B] Depleting Nine (9) (pip value 9) induces a 32-bps shift in Player 0..5 draws and a -28-bps shift in Banker stands; inside coordinate B6-P3(8), the dealer still stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP279 (Nine (9) at 341/416 Cards)
DEP279 MetricDEP279 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP279 At 341 DealtDEP279 Tableau Effect
[DEP279:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)75 Left (82% Dealt)Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt)
[DEP279:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)2/75 (2.67%)Point Value 9
[DEP279:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 32 bps / B -28 bpsB6 Draw 6-7 Gate
[DEP279:Hand]P=2 vs B=6, P3=8P=0 vs B=65c (B)
  • [DEP279-1] Verify [DEP279] 75 unseen cards remain after 341/416 exit.
  • [DEP279-2] Compare [DEP279] Nine (9) density (2/75=2.67%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP279-3] Apply [DEP279] BANKER_TABLEAU[6][8]=false (5c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP279

Why DEP279 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP279-C1] Auditioning [DEP279] at depth, Player opens 2 + 8 -> 0 while Banker opens 6 -> 6 across 5c (B in [DEP279]). Across [DEP279] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP279] PPBBPBBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Nine (9) is depleted to 2/75 in DEP279, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[6][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 341/416 cards in DEP279 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android