Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Third-Card Rule Chart
  3. Depletion #69
SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP069] · 82% DEPTH

Nine (9) Depletion at 341/416 Cards (82%): B3 vs P3=8 Shade Impact #69

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP069, 341 of 416 cards (82%) have exited the shoe, leaving 4 copies of Nine (9) among 75 unseen cards (5.33% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by 18 bps.

DEP069 Shoe Depth
341/416 (82%)
DEP069 9 Density
4/75 (5.33%)
DEP069 Draw Delta
18 bps
DEP069 Tableau Gate
B3vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P P P B B P B B B P P P B P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 82% shoe-penetration state DEP069 (Nine (9) -> 4/75).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 4, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP069 Penetration Depth
341 Dealt / 75 Remaining (82%)

Evaluated at Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP069 Rank 9 Supply
4 of 32 Remaining (5.33%)

Compares depleted density 5.33% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Nine (9).

DEP069 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 18 bps / B-Stand -18 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP069 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP069 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+2)+8=0 vs B(9+4)=3 (B)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP069.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP069

How Removing Nine (9) at 341 Cards Affects B3 vs P3=8 Shade (DEP069)

Penetration profile [DEP069] fixes the shoe at 341 dealt and 75 remaining with 4 Nine (9) cards (5.33% density vs 7.69%), testing sensitivity of the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.

[DEP069-B] Depleting Nine (9) (pip value 9) induces a 18-bps shift in Player 0..5 draws and a -18-bps shift in Banker stands; inside coordinate B3-P3(8), the dealer still stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP069 (Nine (9) at 341/416 Cards)
DEP069 MetricDEP069 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP069 At 341 DealtDEP069 Tableau Effect
[DEP069:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)75 Left (82% Dealt)Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt)
[DEP069:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)4/75 (5.33%)Point Value 9
[DEP069:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 18 bps / B -18 bpsB3 vs P3=8 Shade
[DEP069:Hand]P=2 vs B=3, P3=8P=0 vs B=35c (B)
  • [DEP069-1] Verify [DEP069] 75 unseen cards remain after 341/416 exit.
  • [DEP069-2] Compare [DEP069] Nine (9) density (4/75=5.33%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP069-3] Apply [DEP069] BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false (5c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP069

Why DEP069 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP069-C0] Auditioning [DEP069] at depth, Player opens 2 + 8 -> 0 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP069]). Across [DEP069] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP069] PPBBBPPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Nine (9) is depleted to 4/75 in DEP069, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 341/416 cards in DEP069 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android