Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Third-Card Rule Chart
  3. Depletion #195
SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP195] · 70% DEPTH

Nine (9) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B5 Draw 4-7 Gate Impact #195

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP195, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 6 copies of Nine (9) among 125 unseen cards (4.80% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by 47 bps.

DEP195 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP195 9 Density
6/125 (4.80%)
DEP195 Draw Delta
47 bps
DEP195 Tableau Gate
B5vP6:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P B B B P P P P B B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP195 (Nine (9) -> 6/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 3, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP195 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP195 Rank 9 Supply
6 of 32 Remaining (4.80%)

Compares depleted density 4.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Nine (9).

DEP195 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 47 bps / B-Stand -24 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP195 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[5][6] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 6) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP195 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+2)+6=8 vs B(A+4)=3 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP195.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP195

How Removing Nine (9) at 291 Cards Affects B5 Draw 4-7 Gate (DEP195)

Penetration profile [DEP195] fixes the shoe at 291 dealt and 125 remaining with 6 Nine (9) cards (4.80% density vs 7.69%), testing sensitivity of the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.

[DEP195-B] Depleting Nine (9) (pip value 9) induces a 47-bps shift in Player 0..5 draws and a -24-bps shift in Banker stands; inside coordinate B5-P3(6), the dealer still draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP195 (Nine (9) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP195 MetricDEP195 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP195 At 291 DealtDEP195 Tableau Effect
[DEP195:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP195:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)6/125 (4.80%)Point Value 9
[DEP195:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 47 bps / B -24 bpsB5 Draw 4-7 Gate
[DEP195:Hand]P=2 vs B=5, P3=6P=8 vs B=36c (P)
  • [DEP195-1] Verify [DEP195] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP195-2] Compare [DEP195] Nine (9) density (6/125=4.80%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP195-3] Apply [DEP195] BANKER_TABLEAU[5][6]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP195

Why DEP195 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP195-C11] Auditioning [DEP195] at depth, Player opens 2 + 6 -> 8 while Banker opens 5 -> 3 across 6c (P in [DEP195]). Across [DEP195] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP195] PPBBPBPBBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Nine (9) is depleted to 6/125 in DEP195, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[5][6] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP195 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android