In shoe-depletion analysis DEP041, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 12 copies of Nine (9) among 187 unseen cards (6.42% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by 45 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP041 (Nine (9) -> 12/187).
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.42% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Nine (9).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP041.
Penetration profile [DEP041] fixes the shoe at 229 dealt and 187 remaining with 12 Nine (9) cards (6.42% density vs 7.69%), testing sensitivity of the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.
[DEP041-B] Depleting Nine (9) (pip value 9) induces a 45-bps shift in Player 0..5 draws and a -27-bps shift in Banker stands; inside coordinate B3-P3(8), the dealer still stands pat on five cards.
| DEP041 Metric | DEP041 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP041 At 229 Dealt | DEP041 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP041:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 187 Left (55% Dealt) | Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) |
| [DEP041:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 12/187 (6.42%) | Point Value 9 |
| [DEP041:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P 45 bps / B -27 bps | B3 vs P3=8 Shade |
| [DEP041:Hand] | P=4 vs B=3, P3=8 | P=2 vs B=3 | 5c (B) |
[DEP041-C12] Auditioning [DEP041] at depth, Player opens 4 + 8 -> 2 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP041]). Across [DEP041] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP041] PPBBPPBBBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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