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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP223] · 25% DEPTH

Nine (9) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): B6 Draw 6-7 Gate Impact #223

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP223, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 20 copies of Nine (9) among 312 unseen cards (6.41% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by 12 bps.

DEP223 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP223 9 Density
20/312 (6.41%)
DEP223 Draw Delta
12 bps
DEP223 Tableau Gate
B6vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P B P P B B P B B B P P P P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP223 (Nine (9) -> 20/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP223 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP223 Rank 9 Supply
20 of 32 Remaining (6.41%)

Compares depleted density 6.41% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Nine (9).

DEP223 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 12 bps / B-Stand -15 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP223 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[6][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP223 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+K)+8=8 vs B(2+4)=6 (P)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP223.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP223

How Removing Nine (9) at 104 Cards Affects B6 Draw 6-7 Gate (DEP223)

Penetration profile [DEP223] fixes the shoe at 104 dealt and 312 remaining with 20 Nine (9) cards (6.41% density vs 7.69%), testing sensitivity of the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.

[DEP223-B] Depleting Nine (9) (pip value 9) induces a 12-bps shift in Player 0..5 draws and a -15-bps shift in Banker stands; inside coordinate B6-P3(8), the dealer still stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP223 (Nine (9) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP223 MetricDEP223 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP223 At 104 DealtDEP223 Tableau Effect
[DEP223:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP223:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)20/312 (6.41%)Point Value 9
[DEP223:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 12 bps / B -15 bpsB6 Draw 6-7 Gate
[DEP223:Hand]P=0 vs B=6, P3=8P=8 vs B=65c (P)
  • [DEP223-1] Verify [DEP223] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP223-2] Compare [DEP223] Nine (9) density (20/312=6.41%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP223-3] Apply [DEP223] BANKER_TABLEAU[6][8]=false (5c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP223

Why DEP223 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP223-C12] Auditioning [DEP223] at depth, Player opens 0 + 8 -> 8 while Banker opens 6 -> 6 across 5c (P in [DEP223]). Across [DEP223] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP223] PPBBBPPBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Nine (9) is depleted to 20/312 in DEP223, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[6][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP223 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android