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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP153] · 25% DEPTH

Nine (9) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): B5 Draw 4-7 Gate Impact #153

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP153, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 22 copies of Nine (9) among 312 unseen cards (7.05% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by 32 bps.

DEP153 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP153 9 Density
22/312 (7.05%)
DEP153 Draw Delta
32 bps
DEP153 Tableau Gate
B5vP4:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B B B P P P P B B P B B B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP153 (Nine (9) -> 22/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP153 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP153 Rank 9 Supply
22 of 32 Remaining (7.05%)

Compares depleted density 7.05% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Nine (9).

DEP153 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 32 bps / B-Stand -22 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP153 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[5][4] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 4) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP153 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+2)+4=6 vs B(A+4)=1 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP153.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP153

How Removing Nine (9) at 104 Cards Affects B5 Draw 4-7 Gate (DEP153)

Penetration profile [DEP153] fixes the shoe at 104 dealt and 312 remaining with 22 Nine (9) cards (7.05% density vs 7.69%), testing sensitivity of the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.

[DEP153-B] Depleting Nine (9) (pip value 9) induces a 32-bps shift in Player 0..5 draws and a -22-bps shift in Banker stands; inside coordinate B5-P3(4), the dealer still draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP153 (Nine (9) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP153 MetricDEP153 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP153 At 104 DealtDEP153 Tableau Effect
[DEP153:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP153:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)22/312 (7.05%)Point Value 9
[DEP153:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 32 bps / B -22 bpsB5 Draw 4-7 Gate
[DEP153:Hand]P=2 vs B=5, P3=4P=6 vs B=16c (P)
  • [DEP153-1] Verify [DEP153] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP153-2] Compare [DEP153] Nine (9) density (22/312=7.05%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP153-3] Apply [DEP153] BANKER_TABLEAU[5][4]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP153

Why DEP153 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP153-C3] Auditioning [DEP153] at depth, Player opens 2 + 4 -> 6 while Banker opens 5 -> 1 across 6c (P in [DEP153]). Across [DEP153] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP153] PPBBPPBBBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Nine (9) is depleted to 22/312 in DEP153, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[5][4] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP153 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android