Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Third-Card Rule Chart
  3. Depletion #200
SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP200] · 82% DEPTH

King (K) Depletion at 341/416 Cards (82%): B5 Draw 4-7 Gate Impact #200

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP200, 341 of 416 cards (82%) have exited the shoe, leaving 1 copies of King (K) among 75 unseen cards (1.33% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -44 bps.

DEP200 Shoe Depth
341/416 (82%)
DEP200 K Density
1/75 (1.33%)
DEP200 Draw Delta
-44 bps
DEP200 Tableau Gate
B5vP7:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P P B B B B P P B P P P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 82% shoe-penetration state DEP200 (King (K) -> 1/75).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP200 Penetration Depth
341 Dealt / 75 Remaining (82%)

Evaluated at Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP200 Rank K Supply
1 of 32 Remaining (1.33%)

Compares depleted density 1.33% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for King (K).

DEP200 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -44 bps / B-Stand 38 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP200 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP200 Sample Coup Resolution
P(7+4)+7=8 vs B(2+3)=9 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP200.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP200

How Removing King (K) at 341 Cards Affects B5 Draw 4-7 Gate (DEP200)

Conditional model [DEP200] evaluates Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt) where 1 copies of King (K) persist among 75 cards (1.33% vs 416-card 7.69%), recalibrating the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.

[DEP200-B] Mathematically, King (K) (worth 0) shifts Player draw frequency by -44 bps and Banker stand frequency by 38 bps in [DEP200], whereas fixed rule BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7] draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP200 (King (K) at 341/416 Cards)
DEP200 MetricDEP200 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP200 At 341 DealtDEP200 Tableau Effect
[DEP200:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)75 Left (82% Dealt)Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt)
[DEP200:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)1/75 (1.33%)Point Value 0
[DEP200:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -44 bps / B 38 bpsB5 Draw 4-7 Gate
[DEP200:Hand]P=1 vs B=5, P3=7P=8 vs B=96c (B)
  • [DEP200-1] Verify [DEP200] 75 unseen cards remain after 341/416 exit.
  • [DEP200-2] Compare [DEP200] King (K) density (1/75=1.33%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP200-3] Apply [DEP200] BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP200

Why DEP200 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP200-C7] Auditioning [DEP200] at depth, Player opens 1 + 7 -> 8 while Banker opens 5 -> 9 across 6c (B in [DEP200]). Across [DEP200] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP200] BBPPBBPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen King (K) is depleted to 1/75 in DEP200, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 341/416 cards in DEP200 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android