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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP326] · 70% DEPTH

King (K) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): P0-5 vs B-Stand Impact #326

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP326, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 7 copies of King (K) among 125 unseen cards (5.60% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -36 bps.

DEP326 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP326 K Density
7/125 (5.60%)
DEP326 Draw Delta
-36 bps
DEP326 Tableau Gate
B2vP1:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P P P B B B B P B B P P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = =
Small Road ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP326 (King (K) -> 7/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP326 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP326 Rank K Supply
7 of 32 Remaining (5.60%)

Compares depleted density 5.60% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for King (K).

DEP326 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -36 bps / B-Stand 13 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP326 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[2][1] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 1) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP326 Sample Coup Resolution
P(7+4)+A=2 vs B(10+2)=9 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP326.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP326

How Removing King (K) at 291 Cards Affects P0-5 vs B-Stand (DEP326)

Conditional model [DEP326] evaluates Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) where 7 copies of King (K) persist among 125 cards (5.60% vs 416-card 7.69%), recalibrating the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.

[DEP326-B] Mathematically, King (K) (worth 0) shifts Player draw frequency by -36 bps and Banker stand frequency by 13 bps in [DEP326], whereas fixed rule BANKER_TABLEAU[2][1] draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP326 (King (K) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP326 MetricDEP326 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP326 At 291 DealtDEP326 Tableau Effect
[DEP326:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP326:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)7/125 (5.60%)Point Value 0
[DEP326:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -36 bps / B 13 bpsP0-5 vs B-Stand
[DEP326:Hand]P=1 vs B=2, P3=1P=2 vs B=96c (B)
  • [DEP326-1] Verify [DEP326] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP326-2] Compare [DEP326] King (K) density (7/125=5.60%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP326-3] Apply [DEP326] BANKER_TABLEAU[2][1]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP326

Why DEP326 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP326-C5] Auditioning [DEP326] at depth, Player opens 1 + 1 -> 2 while Banker opens 2 -> 9 across 6c (B in [DEP326]). Across [DEP326] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP326] BBPPBPPPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen King (K) is depleted to 7/125 in DEP326, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[2][1] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP326 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android