In shoe-depletion analysis DEP242, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 11 copies of King (K) among 187 unseen cards (5.88% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by -14 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP242 (King (K) -> 11/187).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 3.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 5.88% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for King (K).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP242.
Conditional model [DEP242] evaluates Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) where 11 copies of King (K) persist among 187 cards (5.88% vs 416-card 7.69%), recalibrating the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.
[DEP242-B] Mathematically, King (K) (worth 0) shifts Player draw frequency by -14 bps and Banker stand frequency by 9 bps in [DEP242], whereas fixed rule BANKER_TABLEAU[6][7] draws a sixth card.
| DEP242 Metric | DEP242 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP242 At 229 Dealt | DEP242 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP242:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 187 Left (55% Dealt) | Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) |
| [DEP242:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 11/187 (5.88%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP242:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -14 bps / B 9 bps | B6 Draw 6-7 Gate |
| [DEP242:Hand] | P=1 vs B=6, P3=7 | P=8 vs B=3 | 6c (P) |
[DEP242-C2] Auditioning [DEP242] at depth, Player opens 1 + 7 -> 8 while Banker opens 6 -> 3 across 6c (P in [DEP242]). Across [DEP242] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP242] BBPPBPBPPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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