In shoe-depletion analysis DEP102, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 11 copies of King (K) among 187 unseen cards (5.88% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by -17 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP102 (King (K) -> 11/187).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 5.88% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for King (K).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 3) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP102.
Conditional model [DEP102] evaluates Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) where 11 copies of King (K) persist among 187 cards (5.88% vs 416-card 7.69%), recalibrating the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.
[DEP102-B] Mathematically, King (K) (worth 0) shifts Player draw frequency by -17 bps and Banker stand frequency by 23 bps in [DEP102], whereas fixed rule BANKER_TABLEAU[4][3] draws a sixth card.
| DEP102 Metric | DEP102 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP102 At 229 Dealt | DEP102 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP102:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 187 Left (55% Dealt) | Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) |
| [DEP102:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 11/187 (5.88%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP102:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -17 bps / B 23 bps | B4 Draw 2-7 Gate |
| [DEP102:Hand] | P=5 vs B=4, P3=3 | P=8 vs B=9 | 6c (B) |
[DEP102-C10] Auditioning [DEP102] at depth, Player opens 5 + 3 -> 8 while Banker opens 4 -> 9 across 6c (B in [DEP102]). Across [DEP102] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP102] BBPPBPPPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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