In shoe-depletion analysis DEP032, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 9 copies of King (K) among 187 unseen cards (4.81% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -37 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP032 (King (K) -> 9/187).
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 6, the one that just finished, with Column 3.
Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 4.81% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for King (K).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP032.
Conditional model [DEP032] evaluates Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) where 9 copies of King (K) persist among 187 cards (4.81% vs 416-card 7.69%), recalibrating the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.
[DEP032-B] Mathematically, King (K) (worth 0) shifts Player draw frequency by -37 bps and Banker stand frequency by 30 bps in [DEP032], whereas fixed rule BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] stands pat on five cards.
| DEP032 Metric | DEP032 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP032 At 229 Dealt | DEP032 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP032:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 187 Left (55% Dealt) | Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) |
| [DEP032:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 9/187 (4.81%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP032:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -37 bps / B 30 bps | B3 vs P3=8 Shade |
| [DEP032:Hand] | P=1 vs B=3, P3=8 | P=9 vs B=3 | 5c (P) |
[DEP032-C1] Auditioning [DEP032] at depth, Player opens 1 + 8 -> 9 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (P in [DEP032]). Across [DEP032] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP032] BBPPBBPBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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