In shoe-depletion analysis DEP158, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 16 copies of King (K) among 250 unseen cards (6.40% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -29 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP158 (King (K) -> 16/250).
Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.40% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for King (K).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 5) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP158.
Conditional model [DEP158] evaluates Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) where 16 copies of King (K) persist among 250 cards (6.40% vs 416-card 7.69%), recalibrating the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.
[DEP158-B] Mathematically, King (K) (worth 0) shifts Player draw frequency by -29 bps and Banker stand frequency by 36 bps in [DEP158], whereas fixed rule BANKER_TABLEAU[5][5] draws a sixth card.
| DEP158 Metric | DEP158 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP158 At 166 Dealt | DEP158 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP158:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP158:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 16/250 (6.40%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP158:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -29 bps / B 36 bps | B5 Draw 4-7 Gate |
| [DEP158:Hand] | P=1 vs B=5, P3=5 | P=6 vs B=7 | 6c (B) |
[DEP158-C12] Auditioning [DEP158] at depth, Player opens 1 + 5 -> 6 while Banker opens 5 -> 7 across 6c (B in [DEP158]). Across [DEP158] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP158] BBPPPBBPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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