In shoe-depletion analysis DEP018, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 16 copies of King (K) among 250 unseen cards (6.40% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -32 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP018 (King (K) -> 16/250).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 3.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.40% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for King (K).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP018.
Conditional model [DEP018] evaluates Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) where 16 copies of King (K) persist among 250 cards (6.40% vs 416-card 7.69%), recalibrating the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.
[DEP018-B] Mathematically, King (K) (worth 0) shifts Player draw frequency by -32 bps and Banker stand frequency by 19 bps in [DEP018], whereas fixed rule BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] stands pat on five cards.
| DEP018 Metric | DEP018 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP018 At 166 Dealt | DEP018 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP018:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP018:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 16/250 (6.40%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP018:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -32 bps / B 19 bps | B3 vs P3=8 Shade |
| [DEP018:Hand] | P=5 vs B=3, P3=8 | P=3 vs B=3 | 5c (T) |
[DEP018-C7] Auditioning [DEP018] at depth, Player opens 5 + 8 -> 3 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (T in [DEP018]). Across [DEP018] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging T onto [DEP018] BBPPBPBPPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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