In shoe-depletion analysis DEP284, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 19 copies of King (K) among 312 unseen cards (6.09% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -21 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP284 (King (K) -> 19/312).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.09% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for King (K).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 3) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP284.
Conditional model [DEP284] evaluates Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) where 19 copies of King (K) persist among 312 cards (6.09% vs 416-card 7.69%), recalibrating the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.
[DEP284-B] Mathematically, King (K) (worth 0) shifts Player draw frequency by -21 bps and Banker stand frequency by 11 bps in [DEP284], whereas fixed rule BANKER_TABLEAU[2][3] draws a sixth card.
| DEP284 Metric | DEP284 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP284 At 104 Dealt | DEP284 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP284:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 312 Left (25% Dealt) | Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP284:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 19/312 (6.09%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP284:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -21 bps / B 11 bps | P0-5 vs B-Stand |
| [DEP284:Hand] | P=1 vs B=2, P3=3 | P=4 vs B=7 | 6c (B) |
[DEP284-C10] Auditioning [DEP284] at depth, Player opens 1 + 3 -> 4 while Banker opens 2 -> 7 across 6c (B in [DEP284]). Across [DEP284] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP284] BBPPBPBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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