In shoe-depletion analysis DEP214, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 21 copies of King (K) among 312 unseen cards (6.73% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by -41 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP214 (King (K) -> 21/312).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.73% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for King (K).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP214.
Conditional model [DEP214] evaluates Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) where 21 copies of King (K) persist among 312 cards (6.73% vs 416-card 7.69%), recalibrating the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.
[DEP214-B] Mathematically, King (K) (worth 0) shifts Player draw frequency by -41 bps and Banker stand frequency by 18 bps in [DEP214], whereas fixed rule BANKER_TABLEAU[6][7] draws a sixth card.
| DEP214 Metric | DEP214 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP214 At 104 Dealt | DEP214 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP214:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 312 Left (25% Dealt) | Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP214:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 21/312 (6.73%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP214:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -41 bps / B 18 bps | B6 Draw 6-7 Gate |
| [DEP214:Hand] | P=3 vs B=6, P3=7 | P=0 vs B=5 | 6c (B) |
[DEP214-C1] Auditioning [DEP214] at depth, Player opens 3 + 7 -> 0 while Banker opens 6 -> 5 across 6c (B in [DEP214]). Across [DEP214] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP214] BBPPBPPPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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