In shoe-depletion analysis DEP144, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 19 copies of King (K) among 312 unseen cards (6.09% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -24 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP144 (King (K) -> 19/312).
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 6, the one that just finished, with Column 3.
Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.09% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for King (K).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP144.
Conditional model [DEP144] evaluates Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) where 19 copies of King (K) persist among 312 cards (6.09% vs 416-card 7.69%), recalibrating the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.
[DEP144-B] Mathematically, King (K) (worth 0) shifts Player draw frequency by -24 bps and Banker stand frequency by 25 bps in [DEP144], whereas fixed rule BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7] draws a sixth card.
| DEP144 Metric | DEP144 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP144 At 104 Dealt | DEP144 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP144:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 312 Left (25% Dealt) | Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP144:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 19/312 (6.09%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP144:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -24 bps / B 25 bps | B5 Draw 4-7 Gate |
| [DEP144:Hand] | P=5 vs B=5, P3=7 | P=2 vs B=3 | 6c (B) |
[DEP144-C5] Auditioning [DEP144] at depth, Player opens 5 + 7 -> 2 while Banker opens 5 -> 3 across 6c (B in [DEP144]). Across [DEP144] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP144] BBPPBBPBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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