In shoe-depletion analysis DEP004, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 19 copies of King (K) among 312 unseen cards (6.09% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -27 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP004 (King (K) -> 19/312).
Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.09% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for King (K).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP004.
Conditional model [DEP004] evaluates Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) where 19 copies of King (K) persist among 312 cards (6.09% vs 416-card 7.69%), recalibrating the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.
[DEP004-B] Mathematically, King (K) (worth 0) shifts Player draw frequency by -27 bps and Banker stand frequency by 39 bps in [DEP004], whereas fixed rule BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] stands pat on five cards.
| DEP004 Metric | DEP004 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP004 At 104 Dealt | DEP004 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP004:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 312 Left (25% Dealt) | Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP004:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 19/312 (6.09%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP004:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -27 bps / B 39 bps | B3 vs P3=8 Shade |
| [DEP004:Hand] | P=3 vs B=3, P3=8 | P=1 vs B=3 | 5c (B) |
[DEP004-C0] Auditioning [DEP004] at depth, Player opens 3 + 8 -> 1 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP004]). Across [DEP004] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP004] BBPPPBBBBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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