Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Third-Card Rule Chart
  3. Depletion #114
SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP114] · 70% DEPTH

Jack (J) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B4 Draw 2-7 Gate Impact #114

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP114, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 7 copies of Jack (J) among 125 unseen cards (5.60% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by -12 bps.

DEP114 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP114 J Density
7/125 (5.60%)
DEP114 Draw Delta
-12 bps
DEP114 Tableau Gate
B4vP3:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P P P B B B B P P B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP114 (Jack (J) -> 7/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 3, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP114 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP114 Rank J Supply
7 of 32 Remaining (5.60%)

Compares depleted density 5.60% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Jack (J).

DEP114 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -12 bps / B-Stand 14 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP114 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[4][3] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 3) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP114 Sample Coup Resolution
P(A+4)+3=8 vs B(2+2)=1 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP114.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP114

How Removing Jack (J) at 291 Cards Affects B4 Draw 2-7 Gate (DEP114)

At penetration mark [DEP114] (291 dealt, 125 undealt), Jack (J) weight is 7/125 (5.60% vs 7.69%), adjusting fifth-card entry into the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.

[DEP114-B] Under [DEP114], Jack (J) (0 pts) scarcity recalibrates Player draw entry (-12 bps) and Banker stand frequency (14 bps), while `bankerShouldDraw(4, 3)` draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP114 (Jack (J) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP114 MetricDEP114 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP114 At 291 DealtDEP114 Tableau Effect
[DEP114:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP114:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)7/125 (5.60%)Point Value 0
[DEP114:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -12 bps / B 14 bpsB4 Draw 2-7 Gate
[DEP114:Hand]P=5 vs B=4, P3=3P=8 vs B=16c (P)
  • [DEP114-1] Verify [DEP114] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP114-2] Compare [DEP114] Jack (J) density (7/125=5.60%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP114-3] Apply [DEP114] BANKER_TABLEAU[4][3]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP114

Why DEP114 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP114-C3] Auditioning [DEP114] at depth, Player opens 5 + 3 -> 8 while Banker opens 4 -> 1 across 6c (P in [DEP114]). Across [DEP114] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP114] BBPPBPBPPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Jack (J) is depleted to 7/125 in DEP114, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[4][3] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP114 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android