In shoe-depletion analysis DEP156, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 14 copies of Jack (J) among 250 unseen cards (5.60% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -19 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP156 (Jack (J) -> 14/250).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 5.60% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Jack (J).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP156.
At penetration mark [DEP156] (166 dealt, 250 undealt), Jack (J) weight is 14/250 (5.60% vs 7.69%), adjusting fifth-card entry into the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.
[DEP156-B] Under [DEP156], Jack (J) (0 pts) scarcity recalibrates Player draw entry (-19 bps) and Banker stand frequency (16 bps), while `bankerShouldDraw(5, 7)` draws a sixth card.
| DEP156 Metric | DEP156 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP156 At 166 Dealt | DEP156 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP156:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP156:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 14/250 (5.60%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP156:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -19 bps / B 16 bps | B5 Draw 4-7 Gate |
| [DEP156:Hand] | P=5 vs B=5, P3=7 | P=2 vs B=5 | 6c (B) |
[DEP156-C11] Auditioning [DEP156] at depth, Player opens 5 + 7 -> 2 while Banker opens 5 -> 5 across 6c (B in [DEP156]). Across [DEP156] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP156] BBPPBPBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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