In shoe-depletion analysis DEP086, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 16 copies of Jack (J) among 250 unseen cards (6.40% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by -39 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP086 (Jack (J) -> 16/250).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.40% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Jack (J).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 3) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP086.
At penetration mark [DEP086] (166 dealt, 250 undealt), Jack (J) weight is 16/250 (6.40% vs 7.69%), adjusting fifth-card entry into the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.
[DEP086-B] Under [DEP086], Jack (J) (0 pts) scarcity recalibrates Player draw entry (-39 bps) and Banker stand frequency (23 bps), while `bankerShouldDraw(4, 3)` draws a sixth card.
| DEP086 Metric | DEP086 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP086 At 166 Dealt | DEP086 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP086:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP086:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 16/250 (6.40%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP086:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -39 bps / B 23 bps | B4 Draw 2-7 Gate |
| [DEP086:Hand] | P=1 vs B=4, P3=3 | P=4 vs B=3 | 6c (P) |
[DEP086-C2] Auditioning [DEP086] at depth, Player opens 1 + 3 -> 4 while Banker opens 4 -> 3 across 6c (P in [DEP086]). Across [DEP086] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP086] BBPPBPPPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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