In shoe-depletion analysis DEP016, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 14 copies of Jack (J) among 250 unseen cards (5.60% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -22 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP016 (Jack (J) -> 14/250).
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 6, the one that just finished, with Column 3.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 5.60% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Jack (J).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP016.
At penetration mark [DEP016] (166 dealt, 250 undealt), Jack (J) weight is 14/250 (5.60% vs 7.69%), adjusting fifth-card entry into the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.
[DEP016-B] Under [DEP016], Jack (J) (0 pts) scarcity recalibrates Player draw entry (-22 bps) and Banker stand frequency (30 bps), while `bankerShouldDraw(3, 8)` stands pat on five cards.
| DEP016 Metric | DEP016 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP016 At 166 Dealt | DEP016 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP016:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP016:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 14/250 (5.60%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP016:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -22 bps / B 30 bps | B3 vs P3=8 Shade |
| [DEP016:Hand] | P=3 vs B=3, P3=8 | P=1 vs B=3 | 5c (B) |
[DEP016-C6] Auditioning [DEP016] at depth, Player opens 3 + 8 -> 1 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP016]). Across [DEP016] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP016] BBPPBBPBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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