In shoe-depletion analysis DEP282, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 21 copies of Jack (J) among 312 unseen cards (6.73% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -48 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP282 (Jack (J) -> 21/312).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.73% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Jack (J).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 1) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP282.
At penetration mark [DEP282] (104 dealt, 312 undealt), Jack (J) weight is 21/312 (6.73% vs 7.69%), adjusting fifth-card entry into the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.
[DEP282-B] Under [DEP282], Jack (J) (0 pts) scarcity recalibrates Player draw entry (-48 bps) and Banker stand frequency (22 bps), while `bankerShouldDraw(2, 1)` draws a sixth card.
| DEP282 Metric | DEP282 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP282 At 104 Dealt | DEP282 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP282:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 312 Left (25% Dealt) | Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP282:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 21/312 (6.73%) | Point Value 0 |
| [DEP282:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -48 bps / B 22 bps | P0-5 vs B-Stand |
| [DEP282:Hand] | P=5 vs B=2, P3=1 | P=6 vs B=5 | 6c (P) |
[DEP282-C9] Auditioning [DEP282] at depth, Player opens 5 + 1 -> 6 while Banker opens 2 -> 5 across 6c (P in [DEP282]). Across [DEP282] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP282] BBPPBPBBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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