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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP212] · 25% DEPTH

Jack (J) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): B6 Draw 6-7 Gate Impact #212

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP212, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 19 copies of Jack (J) among 312 unseen cards (6.09% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by -31 bps.

DEP212 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP212 J Density
19/312 (6.09%)
DEP212 Draw Delta
-31 bps
DEP212 Tableau Gate
B6vP9:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P P B B B B P P B P P P B B B P B
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP212 (Jack (J) -> 19/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 4, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP212 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP212 Rank J Supply
19 of 32 Remaining (6.09%)

Compares depleted density 6.09% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Jack (J).

DEP212 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -31 bps / B-Stand 29 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP212 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[6][9] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 9) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP212 Sample Coup Resolution
P(7+4)+9=0 vs B(3+3)=6 (B)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP212.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP212

How Removing Jack (J) at 104 Cards Affects B6 Draw 6-7 Gate (DEP212)

At penetration mark [DEP212] (104 dealt, 312 undealt), Jack (J) weight is 19/312 (6.09% vs 7.69%), adjusting fifth-card entry into the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.

[DEP212-B] Under [DEP212], Jack (J) (0 pts) scarcity recalibrates Player draw entry (-31 bps) and Banker stand frequency (29 bps), while `bankerShouldDraw(6, 9)` stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP212 (Jack (J) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP212 MetricDEP212 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP212 At 104 DealtDEP212 Tableau Effect
[DEP212:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP212:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)19/312 (6.09%)Point Value 0
[DEP212:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -31 bps / B 29 bpsB6 Draw 6-7 Gate
[DEP212:Hand]P=1 vs B=6, P3=9P=0 vs B=65c (B)
  • [DEP212-1] Verify [DEP212] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP212-2] Compare [DEP212] Jack (J) density (19/312=6.09%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP212-3] Apply [DEP212] BANKER_TABLEAU[6][9]=false (5c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP212

Why DEP212 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP212-C0] Auditioning [DEP212] at depth, Player opens 1 + 9 -> 0 while Banker opens 6 -> 6 across 5c (B in [DEP212]). Across [DEP212] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP212] BBPPPBBBBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Jack (J) is depleted to 19/312 in DEP212, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[6][9] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP212 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android