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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP002] · 25% DEPTH

Jack (J) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): B3 vs P3=8 Shade Impact #2

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP002, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 21 copies of Jack (J) among 312 unseen cards (6.73% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -17 bps.

DEP002 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP002 J Density
21/312 (6.73%)
DEP002 Draw Delta
-17 bps
DEP002 Tableau Gate
B3vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P P P B B B B P P B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP002 (Jack (J) -> 21/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 3, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP002 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP002 Rank J Supply
21 of 32 Remaining (6.73%)

Compares depleted density 6.73% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Jack (J).

DEP002 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -17 bps / B-Stand 19 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP002 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP002 Sample Coup Resolution
P(7+4)+8=9 vs B(10+3)=3 (P)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP002.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP002

How Removing Jack (J) at 104 Cards Affects B3 vs P3=8 Shade (DEP002)

At penetration mark [DEP002] (104 dealt, 312 undealt), Jack (J) weight is 21/312 (6.73% vs 7.69%), adjusting fifth-card entry into the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.

[DEP002-B] Under [DEP002], Jack (J) (0 pts) scarcity recalibrates Player draw entry (-17 bps) and Banker stand frequency (19 bps), while `bankerShouldDraw(3, 8)` stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP002 (Jack (J) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP002 MetricDEP002 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP002 At 104 DealtDEP002 Tableau Effect
[DEP002:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP002:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)21/312 (6.73%)Point Value 0
[DEP002:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -17 bps / B 19 bpsB3 vs P3=8 Shade
[DEP002:Hand]P=1 vs B=3, P3=8P=9 vs B=35c (P)
  • [DEP002-1] Verify [DEP002] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP002-2] Compare [DEP002] Jack (J) density (21/312=6.73%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP002-3] Apply [DEP002] BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false (5c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP002

Why DEP002 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP002-C12] Auditioning [DEP002] at depth, Player opens 1 + 8 -> 9 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (P in [DEP002]). Across [DEP002] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP002] BBPPBPBPPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Jack (J) is depleted to 21/312 in DEP002, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP002 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android