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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP344] · 82% DEPTH

Four (4) Depletion at 341/416 Cards (82%): P0-5 vs B-Stand Impact #344

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP344, 341 of 416 cards (82%) have exited the shoe, leaving 1 copies of Four (4) among 75 unseen cards (1.33% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -24 bps.

DEP344 Shoe Depth
341/416 (82%)
DEP344 4 Density
1/75 (1.33%)
DEP344 Draw Delta
-24 bps
DEP344 Tableau Gate
B2vP3:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P P B B B B P P B P P P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 82% shoe-penetration state DEP344 (Four (4) -> 1/75).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP344 Penetration Depth
341 Dealt / 75 Remaining (82%)

Evaluated at Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP344 Rank 4 Supply
1 of 32 Remaining (1.33%)

Compares depleted density 1.33% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Four (4).

DEP344 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -24 bps / B-Stand 33 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP344 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[2][3] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 3) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP344 Sample Coup Resolution
P(7+4)+3=4 vs B(10+2)=1 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP344.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP344

How Removing Four (4) at 341 Cards Affects P0-5 vs B-Stand (DEP344)

When shoe [DEP344] advances to 341 cards (82% depth), Four (4) supply drops from 32/416 (7.69%) to 1/75 (1.33%), nudging the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.

[DEP344-B] Since Four (4) contributes 4 points, scarcity in [DEP344] moves Player draw probability by -24 bps and Banker stand probability by 33 bps without ever changing BANKER_TABLEAU[2][3] (draws a sixth card).

Depletion Matrix for DEP344 (Four (4) at 341/416 Cards)
DEP344 MetricDEP344 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP344 At 341 DealtDEP344 Tableau Effect
[DEP344:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)75 Left (82% Dealt)Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt)
[DEP344:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)1/75 (1.33%)Point Value 4
[DEP344:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -24 bps / B 33 bpsP0-5 vs B-Stand
[DEP344:Hand]P=1 vs B=2, P3=3P=4 vs B=16c (P)
  • [DEP344-1] Verify [DEP344] 75 unseen cards remain after 341/416 exit.
  • [DEP344-2] Compare [DEP344] Four (4) density (1/75=1.33%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP344-3] Apply [DEP344] BANKER_TABLEAU[2][3]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP344

Why DEP344 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP344-C1] Auditioning [DEP344] at depth, Player opens 1 + 3 -> 4 while Banker opens 2 -> 1 across 6c (P in [DEP344]). Across [DEP344] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP344] BBPPBBPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Four (4) is depleted to 1/75 in DEP344, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[2][3] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 341/416 cards in DEP344 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
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